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Premier League · Matchday 26Saturday 20 February · 15:00 · Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Crystal Palace18th place
BOU 64%X 22%CRY 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 145 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bournemouth 0.5, Crystal Palace -0.9.
  • Last 5 games: Bournemouth 1.8 points per game, Crystal Palace 0.8.
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.555%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X22%4.57214%7.23
Double chance
1X86%1.16X236%2.801278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Under 2.545%2.24BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bournemouth · Columns: Crystal Palace2-0 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bournemouth – Crystal Palace3 May 20263-0
Crystal Palace – Bournemouth18 October 20253-3
Crystal Palace – Bournemouth19 April 20250-0
Bournemouth – Crystal Palace26 December 20240-0
Bournemouth – Crystal Palace2 April 20241-0
Crystal Palace – Bournemouth6 December 20230-2