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Premier League · Matchday 26Saturday 20 February · 15:00 · Anfield
Liverpool5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Hull City11th place
LIV 64%X 22%HUL 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Liverpool lead by 129 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Liverpool 1.8 points per game, Hull City 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Liverpool 0.5, Hull City -0.3.
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Hull City score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.8
Over 2.550%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.55X22%4.50213%7.45
Double chance
1X87%1.16X236%2.811278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.550%1.99Under 2.550%2.01BTTS yes46%2.17BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Liverpool · Columns: Hull City2-0 probability 12.7%

Form

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