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Premier League · Matchday 26Saturday 20 February · 15:00 · Stadium of Light
Sunderland20th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Everton14th place
SUN 35%X 29%EVE 35%

Prediction

  • If Sunderland score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Everton score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.541%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sunderland win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.82X29%3.43235%2.82
Double chance
1X65%1.55X265%1.551271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.541%2.43Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes48%2.07BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sunderland · Columns: Everton1-1 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Everton – Sunderland17 May 20261-3
Sunderland – Everton3 November 20251-1