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Premier League · Matchday 26Saturday 20 February · 15:00 · Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Coventry City16th place
BRE 61%X 23%COV 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brentford lead by 134 rating points.
  • If Brentford score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Brentford win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.65X23%4.27216%6.34
Double chance
1X84%1.19X239%2.551277%1.31
Goals
Over 2.557%1.77Under 2.543%2.30BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brentford · Columns: Coventry City1-1 probability 10.6%

Form

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