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Premier League · Matchday 26Saturday 20 February · 15:00 · Stamford Bridge
Chelsea4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Ipswich Town13th place
CHE 66%X 20%IPS 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Chelsea lead by 165 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Chelsea 1.8 points per game, Ipswich Town 1.0.
  • If Chelsea score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.5 – 1.1
Over 2.571%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.50X20%4.89213%7.65
Double chance
1X87%1.15X234%2.981280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.571%1.41Under 2.529%3.47BTTS yes63%1.59BTTS no37%2.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Chelsea · Columns: Ipswich Town2-1 probability 9.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Chelsea – Ipswich Town13 April 20252-2
Ipswich Town – Chelsea30 December 20242-0