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Premier League · Matchday 26Saturday 20 February · 15:00 · Elland Road
Leeds United12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Aston Villa10th place
LEE 40%X 28%AVL 32%

Prediction

  • If Leeds United score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Aston Villa score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Leeds United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.53X28%3.52232%3.13
Double chance
1X68%1.47X260%1.661272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.546%2.15Under 2.554%1.87BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Leeds United · Columns: Aston Villa1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Aston Villa – Leeds United21 February 20261-1
Leeds United – Aston Villa23 November 20251-2
Aston Villa – Leeds United13 January 20232-1
Leeds United – Aston Villa2 October 20220-0
Leeds United – Aston Villa10 March 20220-3
Aston Villa – Leeds United9 February 20223-3