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Premier League · Matchday 24Saturday 6 February · 15:00 · Emirates Stadium
Arsenal1st place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Liverpool5th place
ARS 58%X 25%LIV 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Arsenal lead by 120 rating points.
  • Arsenal take 2.7 points per game at home.
  • If Arsenal score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.547%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.74X25%3.96217%5.84
Double chance
1X83%1.21X242%2.361275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.547%2.11Under 2.553%1.90BTTS yes48%2.10BTTS no52%1.91

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Arsenal · Columns: Liverpool1-0 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

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Arsenal – Liverpool4 February 20243-1