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Premier League · Matchday 24Saturday 6 February · 15:00 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Newcastle United12th place
EVE 42%X 28%NEW 30%

Prediction

  • If Everton score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Newcastle United score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Everton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.38X28%3.59230%3.33
Double chance
1X70%1.43X258%1.731272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Everton · Columns: Newcastle United1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Newcastle United – Everton28 February 20262-3
Everton – Newcastle United29 November 20251-4
Newcastle United – Everton25 May 20250-1
Everton – Newcastle United5 October 20240-0
Newcastle United – Everton2 April 20241-1
Everton – Newcastle United7 December 20233-0