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Premier League · Matchday 24Saturday 6 February · 15:00 · Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Coventry City16th place
CRY 47%X 27%COV 26%

Prediction

  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.550%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Crystal Palace win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.15X27%3.64226%3.86
Double chance
1X74%1.35X253%1.871273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.550%2.00Under 2.550%2.00BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Crystal Palace · Columns: Coventry City1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

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