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Premier League · Matchday 24Saturday 6 February · 15:00 · City Ground
Nottingham Forest19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Brentford6th place
NFO 41%X 28%BRE 32%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Nottingham Forest 0.6, Brentford -0.1.
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Brentford score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.548%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Nottingham Forest win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.46X28%3.59232%3.17
Double chance
1X68%1.46X259%1.681272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nottingham Forest · Columns: Brentford1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Brentford – Nottingham Forest31 October 20262-0
Brentford – Nottingham Forest25 January 20260-2
Nottingham Forest – Brentford17 August 20253-1
Nottingham Forest – Brentford1 May 20250-2
Brentford – Nottingham Forest21 December 20240-2
Brentford – Nottingham Forest20 January 20243-2