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Premier League · Matchday 24Saturday 6 February · 15:00 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Tottenham9th place
IPS 25%X 26%TOT 49%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Tottenham lead by 104 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Tottenham 2.0 points per game, Ipswich Town 1.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Tottenham 0.2, Ipswich Town -0.4.
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 53% of the time
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.8
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Tottenham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%3.98X26%3.87249%2.04
Double chance
1X51%1.96X275%1.341274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.559%1.68Under 2.541%2.46BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.55

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Tottenham1-1 probability 11.3%

Form

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Head to head

Ipswich Town – Tottenham22 February 20251-4
Tottenham – Ipswich Town10 November 20241-2