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Premier League · Matchday 24Saturday 6 February · 15:00 · American Express Stadium
Brighton3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Hull City10th place
BHA 68%X 20%HUL 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brighton lead by 164 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Brighton 2.4 points per game, Hull City 0.6.
  • Brighton take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Brighton score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Hull City score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.7
Over 2.551%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.46X20%4.91211%8.86
Double chance
1X89%1.13X232%3.161280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.551%1.96Under 2.549%2.05BTTS yes44%2.27BTTS no56%1.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brighton · Columns: Hull City2-0 probability 13.6%

Form

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