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Premier League · Matchday 29Saturday 13 March · 15:00 · Villa Park
Aston Villa10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Hull City11th place
AVL 57%X 25%HUL 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Aston Villa 2.2 points per game, Hull City 0.6.
  • Aston Villa lead by 86 rating points.
  • If Aston Villa score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Hull City score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.548%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.75X25%4.01218%5.60
Double chance
1X82%1.22X243%2.341275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Aston Villa · Columns: Hull City1-0 probability 12.3%

Form

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Head to head

Hull City – Aston Villa5 September 20260-0