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Premier League · Matchday 29Saturday 13 March · 15:00 · Stadium of Light
Sunderland20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Brentford6th place
SUN 31%X 28%BRE 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brentford lead by 131 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Brentford 1.6 points per game, Sunderland 0.2.
  • If Sunderland score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Brentford score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Brentford win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.21X28%3.62241%2.43
Double chance
1X59%1.70X269%1.451272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.549%2.06Under 2.551%1.94BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sunderland · Columns: Brentford1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Brentford – Sunderland5 September 20261-1
Brentford – Sunderland7 January 20263-0
Sunderland – Brentford30 August 20252-1