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Premier League · Matchday 29Saturday 13 March · 15:00 · Anfield
Liverpool5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Ipswich Town13th place
LIV 71%X 18%IPS 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Liverpool lead by 206 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Liverpool 0.5, Ipswich Town -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Liverpool 1.8 points per game, Ipswich Town 1.0.
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 32% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.6 – 1.0
Over 2.569%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
171%1.40X18%5.43210%9.69
Double chance
1X90%1.12X229%3.481282%1.23
Goals
Over 2.569%1.44Under 2.531%3.27BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.39

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Liverpool · Columns: Ipswich Town2-0 probability 9.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Ipswich Town – Liverpool4 September 20260-2
Liverpool – Ipswich Town25 January 20254-1
Ipswich Town – Liverpool17 August 20240-2