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Premier League · Matchday 29Saturday 13 March · 15:00 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Nottingham Forest19th place
TOT 40%X 29%NFO 31%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Tottenham 2.0 points per game, Nottingham Forest 0.2.
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Tottenham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.50X29%3.46231%3.22
Double chance
1X69%1.45X260%1.671271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes52%1.94BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Tottenham · Columns: Nottingham Forest1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

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Head to head

Nottingham Forest – Tottenham5 September 20260-0
Tottenham – Nottingham Forest22 March 20260-3
Nottingham Forest – Tottenham14 December 20253-0
Tottenham – Nottingham Forest21 April 20251-2
Nottingham Forest – Tottenham26 December 20241-0
Tottenham – Nottingham Forest7 April 20243-1