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Premier League · Matchday 29Saturday 13 March · 15:00 · Old Trafford
Manchester United17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Everton14th place
MUN 50%X 27%EVE 23%

Prediction

  • If Manchester United score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Everton score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.548%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Manchester United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%1.99X27%3.76223%4.30
Double chance
1X77%1.30X250%2.011273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.548%2.08Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester United · Columns: Everton1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Everton – Manchester United6 September 20262-2
Everton – Manchester United23 February 20260-1
Manchester United – Everton24 November 20250-1
Everton – Manchester United22 February 20252-2
Manchester United – Everton1 December 20244-0
Manchester United – Everton9 March 20242-0