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Premier League · Matchday 29Saturday 13 March · 15:00 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Manchester City2nd place
COV 13%X 19%MCI 68%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Manchester City lead by 262 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Manchester City 0.6, Coventry City -0.4.
  • Manchester City take 2.1 points per game away.
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 37% of the time
  • If Manchester City score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.2
Over 2.561%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.71X19%5.18268%1.48
Double chance
1X32%3.10X287%1.151281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.561%1.65Under 2.539%2.53BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Coventry City · Columns: Manchester City0-2 probability 11.0%

Form

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Head to head

Manchester City – Coventry City5 September 20261-0