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Premier League · Matchday 29Saturday 13 March · 15:00 · Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Fulham15th place
CRY 32%X 28%FUL 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fulham 0.3, Crystal Palace -0.9.
  • Fulham lead by 65 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Fulham 1.6 points per game, Crystal Palace 0.8.
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Fulham score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Fulham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.13X28%3.51240%2.53
Double chance
1X60%1.65X268%1.471272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes52%1.94BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Crystal Palace · Columns: Fulham1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Fulham – Crystal Palace5 September 20262-3
Crystal Palace – Fulham1 January 20261-1
Fulham – Crystal Palace7 December 20251-2
Fulham – Crystal Palace22 February 20250-2
Crystal Palace – Fulham9 November 20240-2
Fulham – Crystal Palace27 April 20241-1