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Premier League · Matchday 23Saturday 30 January · 15:00 · Villa Park
Aston Villa10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Ipswich Town14th place
AVL 64%X 21%IPS 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Aston Villa lead by 163 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Aston Villa 2.2 points per game, Ipswich Town 1.0.
  • If Aston Villa score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.0
Over 2.565%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.55X21%4.68214%7.01
Double chance
1X86%1.17X236%2.811279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.565%1.53Under 2.535%2.88BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.44

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Aston Villa · Columns: Ipswich Town2-1 probability 9.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Aston Villa – Ipswich Town15 February 20251-1
Ipswich Town – Aston Villa29 September 20242-2