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Premier League · Matchday 23Saturday 30 January · 15:00 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Sunderland20th place
TOT 50%X 27%SUN 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Tottenham 2.0 points per game, Sunderland 0.2.
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Sunderland score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.546%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Tottenham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.00X27%3.67223%4.38
Double chance
1X77%1.30X250%2.001273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.546%2.17Under 2.554%1.86BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Tottenham · Columns: Sunderland1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sunderland – Tottenham12 April 20261-0
Tottenham – Sunderland4 January 20261-1