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Premier League · Matchday 23Saturday 30 January · 15:00 · The MKM Stadium
Hull City11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Crystal Palace18th place
HUL 39%X 29%CRY 32%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Hull City -0.3, Crystal Palace -0.9.
  • If Hull City score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.544%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Hull City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.59X29%3.45232%3.08
Double chance
1X68%1.48X261%1.631271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no50%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hull City · Columns: Crystal Palace1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

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