TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 23Saturday 30 January · 15:00 · Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Fulham15th place
BOU 53%X 26%FUL 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 80 rating points.
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Fulham score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.548%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Bournemouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.87X26%3.82220%4.90
Double chance
1X80%1.26X247%2.151274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.94BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bournemouth · Columns: Fulham1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Fulham – Bournemouth9 May 20260-1
Bournemouth – Fulham3 October 20253-1
Bournemouth – Fulham14 April 20251-0
Fulham – Bournemouth29 December 20242-2
Fulham – Bournemouth10 February 20243-1
Bournemouth – Fulham26 December 20233-0