TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 23Saturday 30 January · 15:00 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Leeds United11th place
COV 28%X 28%LEE 44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Leeds United lead by 79 rating points.
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Leeds United score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Leeds United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.63X28%3.56244%2.25
Double chance
1X56%1.80X272%1.381272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Coventry City · Columns: Leeds United1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Coventry City – Leeds United5 February 20250-2
Leeds United – Coventry City28 September 20243-0
Coventry City – Leeds United6 April 20242-1
Leeds United – Coventry City16 December 20231-1