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Premier League · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · Villa Park
Aston Villa9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Tottenham8th place
AVL 44%X 28%TOT 28%

Prediction

  • If Aston Villa score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Aston Villa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.27X28%3.59228%3.55
Double chance
1X72%1.39X256%1.791272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.551%1.95Under 2.549%2.06BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Aston Villa · Columns: Tottenham1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Tottenham – Aston Villa19 September 20262-3
Aston Villa – Tottenham3 May 20261-2
Tottenham – Aston Villa19 October 20251-2
Aston Villa – Tottenham16 May 20252-0
Tottenham – Aston Villa3 November 20244-1
Aston Villa – Tottenham10 March 20240-4