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Premier League · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · Old Trafford
Manchester United17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Fulham15th place
MUN 48%X 27%FUL 25%

Prediction

  • If Manchester United score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Fulham score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Manchester United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.08X27%3.69225%4.04
Double chance
1X75%1.33X252%1.931273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester United · Columns: Fulham1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Fulham – Manchester United20 September 20261-1
Manchester United – Fulham1 February 20263-2
Fulham – Manchester United24 August 20251-1
Fulham – Manchester United26 January 20250-1
Manchester United – Fulham16 August 20241-0
Manchester United – Fulham24 February 20241-2