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Premier League · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · The MKM Stadium
Hull City11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Newcastle United13th place
HUL 32%X 28%NEW 40%

Prediction

  • If Hull City score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Newcastle United score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.548%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Newcastle United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.12X28%3.54240%2.52
Double chance
1X60%1.66X268%1.471272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.06Under 2.552%1.94BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hull City · Columns: Newcastle United1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

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Head to head

Newcastle United – Hull City19 September 20262-1