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Premier League · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Nottingham Forest19th place
COV 26%X 27%NFO 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Nottingham Forest 0.6, Coventry City -0.4.
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.5
Over 2.547%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Nottingham Forest win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.78X27%3.65246%2.17
Double chance
1X54%1.86X274%1.361273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Coventry City · Columns: Nottingham Forest1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Nottingham Forest – Coventry City19 September 20260-1
Nottingham Forest – Coventry City6 April 20222-0
Coventry City – Nottingham Forest8 August 20212-1