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Premier League · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Everton7th place
IPS 25%X 26%EVE 48%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Everton lead by 127 rating points.
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If Everton score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.6
Over 2.552%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Everton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%3.95X26%3.79248%2.07
Double chance
1X52%1.93X275%1.341274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.22

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Everton1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Everton – Ipswich Town19 September 20261-0
Everton – Ipswich Town3 May 20252-2
Ipswich Town – Everton19 October 20240-2