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Premier League · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · Anfield
Liverpool5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Bournemouth7th place
LIV 42%X 28%BOU 31%

Prediction

  • If Liverpool score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Liverpool win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.40X28%3.59231%3.28
Double chance
1X69%1.44X258%1.711272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.17BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.38

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Liverpool · Columns: Bournemouth1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bournemouth – Liverpool20 September 20260-1
Bournemouth – Liverpool24 January 20263-2
Liverpool – Bournemouth15 August 20254-2
Bournemouth – Liverpool1 February 20250-2
Liverpool – Bournemouth21 September 20243-0
Bournemouth – Liverpool21 January 20240-4