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Premier League · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Leeds United12th place
CRY 32%X 28%LEE 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Leeds United lead by 77 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Leeds United -0.3, Crystal Palace -0.9.
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Leeds United score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Leeds United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.14X28%3.53240%2.51
Double chance
1X60%1.66X268%1.471272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes52%1.94BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Crystal Palace · Columns: Leeds United1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Leeds United – Crystal Palace20 September 20260-0
Crystal Palace – Leeds United15 March 20260-0
Leeds United – Crystal Palace20 December 20254-1
Leeds United – Crystal Palace9 April 20231-5
Crystal Palace – Leeds United9 October 20222-1
Crystal Palace – Leeds United25 April 20220-0