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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 17:30 · New Balance Arena
Atalanta13th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Lazio1st place
ATA 31%X 28%LAZ 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Lazio 3.0 points per game, Atalanta 1.0.
  • Lazio lead by 89 rating points.
  • Lazio take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Atalanta score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Lazio score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Lazio win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.28X28%3.61242%2.39
Double chance
1X58%1.72X269%1.441272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.550%2.00Under 2.550%2.00BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Atalanta · Columns: Lazio1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →
LazioWWWWW

Head to head

Lazio – Atalanta14 February 20260-2
Atalanta – Lazio19 October 20250-0
Atalanta – Lazio6 April 20250-1
Lazio – Atalanta28 December 20241-1
Atalanta – Lazio4 February 20243-1
Lazio – Atalanta8 October 20233-2