TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 17:30 · Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Udinese19th place
FIO 50%X 26%UDI 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fiorentina 0.1, Udinese -1.1.
  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Udinese score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.1
Over 2.552%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Fiorentina win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%1.99X26%3.78223%4.28
Double chance
1X77%1.30X250%2.011274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.552%1.94Under 2.549%2.06BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fiorentina · Columns: Udinese1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Udinese – Fiorentina2 March 20263-0
Fiorentina – Udinese21 December 20255-1
Udinese – Fiorentina25 May 20252-3
Fiorentina – Udinese23 December 20241-2
Fiorentina – Udinese14 January 20242-2
Udinese – Fiorentina24 September 20230-2