TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico
Roma3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Torino10th place
ROM 69%X 20%TOR 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Roma lead by 224 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Roma 0.9, Torino -0.3.
  • Roma take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • If Roma score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.8
Over 2.558%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.44X20%5.06211%9.12
Double chance
1X89%1.12X231%3.261280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.37BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Roma · Columns: Torino2-0 probability 12.2%
RomaDWDWW
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Torino – Roma14 September 20260-2
Torino – Roma18 January 20260-2
Roma – Torino14 September 20250-1
Torino – Roma25 May 20250-2
Roma – Torino31 October 20241-0
Roma – Torino26 February 20243-2