TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 17:30 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Genoa11th place
VEN 29%X 28%GEN 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Genoa lead by 138 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Genoa 2.4 points per game, Venezia 0.6.
  • If Venezia score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Genoa score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.3
Over 2.541%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Genoa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.39X28%3.55242%2.36
Double chance
1X58%1.73X271%1.421272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.541%2.44Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes48%2.10BTTS no52%1.91

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Genoa1-1 probability 14.0%

Form

Compare →
VeneziaLWLLL
GenoaWLWWW

Head to head

Genoa – Venezia25 October 20261-0
Genoa – Venezia17 February 20252-0
Venezia – Genoa21 September 20242-0
Venezia – Genoa20 February 20221-1
Genoa – Venezia31 October 20210-0