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Serie A · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Monza16th place
COM 74%X 17%MON 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 308 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.6 points per game, Monza 0.6.
  • Como take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Como score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Monza score first, they win 30% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.5 – 0.8
Over 2.565%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
174%1.35X17%5.7229%11.63
Double chance
1X91%1.09X226%3.831283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.86BTTS yes52%1.94BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Como · Columns: Monza2-0 probability 11.3%

Form

Compare →
ComoDWWWW
MonzaLWLLL

Head to head

Monza – Como5 April 20251-3
Como – Monza30 November 20241-1