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Serie A · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Cagliari12th place
INT 79%X 15%CAG 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 281 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Cagliari -0.6.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.4 points per game, Cagliari 0.2.
  • If Inter score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If Cagliari score first, they win 26% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.7 – 0.7
Over 2.565%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
179%1.27X15%6.8326%15.46
Double chance
1X94%1.07X221%4.731285%1.17
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.84BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Cagliari2-0 probability 12.6%

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Cagliari – Inter30 August 20260-1
Inter – Cagliari17 April 20263-0
Cagliari – Inter27 September 20250-2
Inter – Cagliari12 April 20253-1
Cagliari – Inter28 December 20240-3
Inter – Cagliari14 April 20242-2