TR
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Serie A · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 17:30 · Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Frosinone6th place
PAR 32%X 26%FRO 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Frosinone lead by 115 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Frosinone 2.0 points per game, Parma 0.8.
  • If Parma score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.6
Over 2.555%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Frosinone win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.09X26%3.85242%2.40
Double chance
1X58%1.71X268%1.481274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Under 2.545%2.24BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.44

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Parma · Columns: Frosinone1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

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