TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 17:30 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Sassuolo15th place
JUV 67%X 21%SAS 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 146 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Juventus 1.4 points per game, Sassuolo 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Sassuolo -0.3.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.554%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.49X21%4.78212%8.38
Double chance
1X88%1.14X233%3.051279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.554%1.87Under 2.547%2.15BTTS yes47%2.13BTTS no53%1.88

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Sassuolo2-0 probability 12.7%

Head to head

Sassuolo – Juventus13 September 20263-2
Juventus – Sassuolo21 March 20261-1
Sassuolo – Juventus6 January 20260-3
Juventus – Sassuolo16 January 20243-0
Sassuolo – Juventus23 September 20234-2
Sassuolo – Juventus16 April 20231-0