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Serie A · Matchday 23Sunday 7 February · 17:30 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna9th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Milan5th place
BOL 35%X 28%MIL 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Milan lead by 73 rating points.
  • If Bologna score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Milan score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.548%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Milan win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.90X28%3.54237%2.69
Double chance
1X63%1.59X265%1.531272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bologna · Columns: Milan1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

Compare →
BolognaWLWWW
MilanDWWLW

Head to head

Milan – Bologna28 October 20262-4
Bologna – Milan3 February 20260-3
Milan – Bologna14 September 20251-0
Milan – Bologna9 May 20253-1
Bologna – Milan27 February 20252-1
Milan – Bologna27 January 20242-2