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Serie A · Matchday 27Sunday 7 March · 17:30 · New Balance Arena
Atalanta13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Torino10th place
ATA 51%X 26%TOR 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Atalanta lead by 74 rating points.
  • If Atalanta score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.1
Over 2.553%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Atalanta win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.98X26%3.79223%4.34
Double chance
1X77%1.30X249%2.031274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.553%1.88Under 2.547%2.13BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.23

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Atalanta · Columns: Torino1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Atalanta – Torino10 January 20262-0
Torino – Atalanta21 September 20250-3
Atalanta – Torino1 February 20251-1
Torino – Atalanta25 August 20242-1
Atalanta – Torino26 May 20243-0
Torino – Atalanta4 December 20233-0