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Serie A · Matchday 27Sunday 7 March · 17:30 · Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Venezia20th place
FIO 55%X 26%VEN 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fiorentina lead by 118 rating points.
  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Venezia score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.546%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.82X26%3.92219%5.15
Double chance
1X81%1.24X245%2.221274%1.34
Goals
Over 2.546%2.16Under 2.554%1.86BTTS yes48%2.09BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fiorentina · Columns: Venezia1-0 probability 12.4%

Form

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Head to head

Venezia – Fiorentina11 September 20262-4
Venezia – Fiorentina12 May 20252-1
Fiorentina – Venezia25 August 20240-0
Fiorentina – Venezia16 April 20221-0
Venezia – Fiorentina18 October 20211-0