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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 27Sunday 7 March · 17:30 · Stadio Via del mare
Lecce14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Como4th place
LEC 15%X 21%COM 64%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 257 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.6 points per game, Lecce 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Como 0.6, Lecce -0.6.
  • If Lecce score first, they win 43% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 85% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.7 – 1.9
Over 2.549%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
115%6.89X21%4.71264%1.56
Double chance
1X36%2.80X285%1.171279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.549%2.05Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes45%2.21BTTS no55%1.83

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lecce · Columns: Como0-1 probability 12.9%

Form

Compare →
LecceLWLLL
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Como – Lecce28 February 20263-1
Lecce – Como27 December 20250-3
Lecce – Como19 April 20250-3
Como – Lecce30 December 20242-0