TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 27Sunday 7 March · 17:30 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Roma3rd place
JUV 40%X 28%ROM 32%

Prediction

  • If Juventus score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Roma score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.547%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Juventus win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.52X28%3.58232%3.09
Double chance
1X68%1.48X260%1.661272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.547%2.14Under 2.553%1.88BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Roma1-1 probability 13.6%
RomaDWDWW

Head to head

Roma – Juventus1 March 20263-3
Juventus – Roma20 December 20252-1
Roma – Juventus6 April 20251-1
Juventus – Roma1 September 20240-0
Roma – Juventus5 May 20241-1
Juventus – Roma30 December 20231-0