TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 27Sunday 7 March · 17:30 · Bluenergy Stadium
Udinese19th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Inter2nd place
UDI 10%X 16%INT 73%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 295 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Udinese -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.4 points per game, Udinese 0.2.
  • If Udinese score first, they win 31% of the time
  • If Inter score first, they win 88% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.6
Over 2.567%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
110%9.68X16%6.11273%1.36
Double chance
1X27%3.75X290%1.121284%1.20
Goals
Over 2.567%1.50Under 2.533%3.01BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.19

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Udinese · Columns: Inter0-2 probability 10.5%
UdineseLLLDL
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Inter – Udinese14 September 20265-3
Udinese – Inter17 January 20260-1
Inter – Udinese31 August 20251-2
Inter – Udinese30 March 20252-1
Udinese – Inter28 September 20242-3
Udinese – Inter8 April 20241-2