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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 27Sunday 7 March · 17:30 · Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Sassuolo15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Bologna9th place
SAS 29%X 27%BOL 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Bologna 2.4 points per game, Sassuolo 0.2.
  • Bologna lead by 100 rating points.
  • Bologna take 2.1 points per game away.
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Bologna score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.6
Over 2.553%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Bologna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.41X27%3.68243%2.30
Double chance
1X57%1.77X271%1.421273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.553%1.88Under 2.547%2.13BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.33

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sassuolo · Columns: Bologna1-1 probability 12.6%

Form

Compare →
BolognaWLWWW

Head to head

Bologna – Sassuolo6 September 20262-2
Sassuolo – Bologna15 March 20260-1
Bologna – Sassuolo28 December 20251-1
Bologna – Sassuolo3 February 20244-2
Sassuolo – Bologna28 October 20231-1
Sassuolo – Bologna8 May 20231-1