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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 8Saturday 10 October · 17:30 · Spotify Camp Nou
Barcelona1st place
Full time3-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Getafe12th place
BAR 83%X 12%GET 5%

What does the market say?

BarcelonaDrawGetafeRinvalo83%12%5%
Market88%8%4%

✓ Agree · both back Barcelona

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Barcelona lead by 296 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Barcelona 2.1, Getafe -0.5.
  • Last 5 games: Barcelona 3.0 points per game, Getafe 1.0.
  • If Barcelona score first, they win 95% of the time
  • If Getafe score first, they win 23% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.5 – 0.4
Over 2.557%
Both teams score33%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
183%1.21X12%8.0925%21.19
Double chance
1X95%1.05X217%5.851288%1.14
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.31BTTS yes33%3.08BTTS no68%1.48

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Barcelona · Columns: Getafe3-0 probability 14.0% · final score

Form

Compare →
GetafeWLDLW

Head to head

Barcelona – Getafe10 October 20263-0
Getafe – Barcelona25 April 20260-2
Barcelona – Getafe21 September 20253-0
Getafe – Barcelona18 January 20251-1
Barcelona – Getafe25 September 20241-0
Barcelona – Getafe24 February 20244-0