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La Liga · Matchday 8Sunday 11 October · 13:00 · Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche17th place
Full time0-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Celta Vigo10th place
ELC 37%X 28%CEL 34%

What does the market say?

ElcheDrawCelta VigoRinvalo37%28%34%
Market34%29%37%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Elche 37%, market Celta Vigo 37%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Elche score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.552%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Elche win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.67X28%3.52234%2.92
Double chance
1X66%1.52X263%1.601272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes57%1.77BTTS no43%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elche · Columns: Celta Vigo0-0 probability 7.3% · final score

Form

Compare →
ElcheWDDWL

Head to head

Elche – Celta Vigo11 October 20260-0
Celta Vigo – Elche3 May 20263-1
Elche – Celta Vigo28 September 20252-1
Celta Vigo – Elche26 April 20231-0
Elche – Celta Vigo6 January 20230-1
Celta Vigo – Elche15 May 20221-0