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La Liga · Matchday 8Saturday 10 October · 13:00 · Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano11th place
Postponed–
Athletic Bilbao7th place
RAY 42%X 28%ATH 30%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rayo Vallecano take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Athletic Bilbao score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Rayo Vallecano win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.38X28%3.53230%3.37
Double chance
1X70%1.42X258%1.721272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.543%2.31Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes49%2.02BTTS no51%1.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rayo Vallecano · Columns: Athletic Bilbao1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano – Athletic Bilbao28 February 20261-1
Athletic Bilbao – Rayo Vallecano25 August 20251-0
Athletic Bilbao – Rayo Vallecano13 April 20253-1
Rayo Vallecano – Athletic Bilbao1 December 20241-2
Rayo Vallecano – Athletic Bilbao25 May 20240-1
Athletic Bilbao – Rayo Vallecano2 December 20234-0