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La Liga · Matchday 8Sunday 11 October · 15:15 · Reale Arena
Real Sociedad5th place
Full time3-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Deportivo8th place
RSO 53%X 26%DEP 21%

What does the market say?

Real SociedadDrawDeportivoRinvalo53%26%21%
Market58%24%18%

✓ Agree · both back Real Sociedad

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.552%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Real Sociedad win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.89X26%3.82221%4.76
Double chance
1X79%1.27X247%2.121274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.10BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Sociedad · Columns: Deportivo3-2 probability 2.9% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Real Sociedad – Deportivo11 October 20263-2